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U.S. Supreme Court - NYS Rifle and Pistol Association v. Bruen

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What Will the U.S. Supreme Court Decide?
by Stephen P. Halbrook - January 2, 2022

The highly anticipated oral argument in New York State Rifle and Pistol Association v. Bruen took place before the U.S. Supreme Court on Nov. 3, 2021. While predicting the outcome of a Supreme Court decision is hazardous, what was said in this hearing didn’t please gun-control advocates.

Paul Clement, former solicitor general of the United States, argued on behalf of the challengers. Barbara Underwood, solicitor general of New York, defended the law in question, as did Brian Fletcher, the principal deputy solicitor general of the United States. Other than the lawyers, the justices and select media, the courtroom was empty due to COVID restrictions, but anyone could listen to the very lively argument on the Court’s website. The following offers a blow-by-blow account of the arguments before the Court.

Everyone seemed to assume that “the people” have a right to bear arms outside the home, but it depended on whose definition of “the people” was used. To the challengers, the populace at large is included, while New York would confine the term to “atypical people” approved by the government. (Gone are the days, disposed into the dust bin of legal history by District of Columbia v. Heller (2008), when “the people” was argued to mean members of a militia on active duty.)

True to form, Justice Stephen Breyer, a former professor, used up a good bit of Clement’s time ruminating about crime statistics, how professors of history showed Heller to be wrongly decided and how carrying for self-defense makes “you go shooting it around and somebody gets killed.” He worried about “people of good moral character who start drinking a lot and who may be there for a football game” who then might “get pretty angry at each other.”

To that, Clement pointed to the 43 or so “shall-issue” states, which include large cities like Phoenix and Houston. He said that those places “allow their citizens to have the same rights” and they have not had worse problems than the handful of states with discretionary issuance.

The fun really began with the argument of New York Solicitor General Barbara Underwood. She reduced the right of the people to bear arms to the whims of government officials. Despite it being an obvious outlier, she asserted that “New York is not an outlier in the extent to which the state restricts the ability to carry firearms in public, and it’s not an outlier in asking a licensed applicant to show good cause for a carry license.”

Underwood’s argument that carry permits might be more appropriate in rural areas, but not populous ones, ran into a brick wall from Chief Justice Roberts, who said it’s unlikely in the woods “to run into someone who’s going to rob you on the street. On the other hand, there are places ... in a densely populated city where it’s more likely that that’s where you’re going to need a gun for self-defense and ... however many policemen are assigned ... there are high-crime areas.”

When Underwood irrelevantly retorted that, under the English monarchies it was “an insult to the king for people to take things into their own hands,” Roberts said, “Well, how many muggings take place in the forest?” (There was some laughter then.) Underwood correctly replied that rapes and robberies do occur on deserted bike paths, but this only worsened her case.

And that’s where Justice Alito lowered the boom, arguing that ordinary “people who work late at night in Manhattan … it might be somebody who cleans offices; it might be a doorman at an apartment; it might be a nurse or an orderly; it might be somebody who washes dishes.” They get off work around midnight, commute home by subway or bus and walk through a high-crime area. “And they apply for a license, and they say: Look, nobody has ... said I’m going to mug you next Thursday; however, there have been a lot of muggings in this area, and I am scared to death.”

Underwood confirmed that, “if there’s nothing particular to them,” they don’t get a carry license. So, Alito continued, “Does it mean that there is the right to self-defense for celebrities and state judges and retired police officers but pretty much not for the kind of ordinary people who have a real, felt need to carry a gun to protect themselves?” The follow-up exchange was telling:

Justice Alito: “There are ... a lot of armed people on the streets of New York and in the subways late at night right now, aren’t there?”

Underwood: “There are people with illegal guns if that’s what you’re—”

Justice Alito: “Yeah, that’s what I’m talking about... . They’re walking around the streets, but the ordinary, hard-working, law-abiding people I mentioned, no, they can’t be armed?”

Next it was Justice Kavanaugh’s turn. He asked that “the real concern, isn’t it, with any constitutional right, if it’s the discretion of an individual officer, that seems inconsistent with an objective constitutional right... . I mean, what if you’re a runner and you say I run a lot, and, as you correctly pointed out earlier, there are a lot of serious violent crimes on running paths?”

Underwood then let the cat out of the bag: “The problem with the shall-issue regimes is that they multiply the number of firearms that are being carried in very densely populated places... .”

So the constitutional right is being exercised by too many people?

That led Justice Kagan to request her to respond to Clement’s argument that “we would never really dream of doing that for the First Amendment or other constitutional rights... .”

Justice Sonia Sotomayor called her out on giving an evasive answer and repeated that, “the issue is [in] no other constitutional right do we condition on permitting different jurisdictions to pass different regulations... .” No decent answer was forthcoming.

Justice Alito asked whether “you got a little bit overly enthusiastic in your summary of some of the historical sources,” as he noted that New York’s brief used a quote from an 1814 North Carolina legal manual telling local officials to “arrest all such persons as in your sight shall ride or go armed.” Trouble is, the original source actually said “ride or go armed offensively.” Going armed peaceably was lawful. Instead of apologizing for what looked like manipulation of the source, Underwood argued that, what the heck, it didn’t matter, going armed was the same as going armed offensively.

Chief Justice Roberts stated that “the first thing I would look to in answering this question is not the Statute of Northampton, it’s Heller ... and its recognition that the Second Amendment ... is to be interpreted the same way you’d interpret other provisions of the Constitution.” Case in point, the Sixth Amendment: “If you’re asserting a claim to confront the witnesses against you under the Constitution, you don’t have to say I’ve got a special reason.” So why should someone have to convince an official that you’re entitled to exercise Second Amendment rights? Instead of a serious answer, crickets.

Counsel next denied Justice Alito’s follow-up statement that “a major reason for the enactment of the [N.Y.] Sullivan Law was the belief that certain disfavored groups, members of labor unions, blacks and Italians were carrying guns and they were dangerous people and they wanted them disarmed.” But the brief of Italo-American jurists and attorneys, authored by Sarah Gervase, demonstrated exactly that, as did the brief I filed on behalf of the National African American Gun Association.

Earlier, Justice Sotomayor referred to the slave and black codes under which “to carry the arms, that you had to be subject to the approval of the local sheriff or the local mayor, et cetera. And during the Civil War, that was used” to deny black people the right to arms. “We now have the Fourteenth Amendment to protect that,” said Sotomayor. Nevertheless, that protection is pretty slim in New York, as shown by the brief of the Black Attorneys of Legal Aid.

On behalf of the petitioners, Paul Clement got the last word in rebuttal: “In a country with the Second Amendment as a fundamental right, simply having more firearms cannot be a problem and can’t be a government interest just to put a cap on … the number of firearms.”

Keep your fingers crossed and expect a decision no later than June 2022.

Stephen P. Halbrook is a senior fellow with the Independent Institute and the author of 10 books, including The Right to Bear Arms: A Constitutional Right of the People or a Privilege of the Ruling Class?

More at:
 
Very interesting!

Sotomayer is considered a “Liberal” judge but born in the Bronx of Puerto Rican immigrant parents.

So the fact she said “the issue is [in] no other constitutional right do we condition on permitting different jurisdictions to pass different regulations...” is bad news for NY.
 
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I read that as a set up so that New York could pry "intermediate scrutiny" into the argument. NY failed on that.

I suspect in the end, it will come down to a 5-4 vote IF all three of the Justices that Pres. Trump appointed side with Alito and Thomas. Roberts is a coin flip, but the other three are going to vote to uphold the law.

Very interesting!

Sotomayer is considered a “Liberal” judge but born in the Bronx of Puerto Rican immigrant parents. So the fact she said “the issue is [in] no other constitutional right do we condition on permitting different jurisdictions to pass different regulations...” is bad news for NY.
 
This is important, and as it personally affects me I am very excited, but we also have to think about what's next. There are other issues relating to carry, such as state reciprocity. I'd be thrilled if Chief McMunchkin of Medford could no longer cuck me from carrying, but that just eliminates borders as a means of right denial within a state.

What if you live near a state that refuses to issue permits to non-residents and does not recognize your state's permit? A very practical example, would be someone who lives in Stamford Connecticut (which is shall-issue) and commutes to Ew York Shitty via the Metro North line. NYC is quite dangerous as of late. NYS/NYC being forced to issue permits doesn't help the guy in that situation.

Again, I don't mean to dampen the mood. As a restricted LTC holder I will have a grin like a kid on Christmas if this happens, just don't want complacency. As long as antis are around, the fight will not end.
 
I listened to every word of the oral arguments once they were available. One can certainly tell the majority were not in agreement with NY and seemed to support that there is an inherent right of self-protection even outside the home.

What will muddy the waters and what lefties are sure to abuse is the "proper place" that was discussed. In previous rulings carrying was prohibited in several places that we've all heard of. What I think will happen is there will be enough room to drive a truck through "proper places" and states that currently have ridiculous laws will just have NEW ridiculous laws.
 
Very interesting!

Sotomayer is considered a “Liberal” judge but born in the Bronx of Puerto Rican immigrant parents. So the fact she said “the issue is [in] no other constitutional right do we condition on permitting different jurisdictions to pass different regulations...” is bad news for NY.

The oral arguments are here. <em>New York State Rifle and Pistol Association v. Bruen</em> Oral Argument

It was very clear that day, the NY licensing scheme is going to be stuck down, the only question is how the justices issue their ruling. We want SCOTUS to say 2A cases need to be decided on a text, history and tradition standard and not some bs rational basis, intermediate scrutiny etc as the 9th, 4th and other appeals courts have.

Don’t bet on Sotomayor deciding in favor of the 2A position
 
I would expect some sort of binding signage law, a prohibition on carrying anywhere alcohol is sold, even package stores, prohibitions in all government buildings, and anything else those A-holes on Beacon Hill can think of to make it more difficult to own and carry firearms.

I have no doubt that there are bills drafted and ready to be filed ten minutes after the decision is handed down.

I listened to every word of the oral arguments once they were available. One can certainly tell the majority were not in agreement with NY and seemed to support that there is an inherent right of self-protection even outside the home.

What will muddy the waters and what lefties are sure to abuse is the "proper place" that was discussed. In previous rulings carrying was prohibited in several places that we've all heard of. What I think will happen is there will be enough room to drive a truck through "proper places" and states that currently have ridiculous laws will just have NEW ridiculous laws.
 
I read that as a set up so that New York could pry "intermediate scrutiny" into the argument. NY failed on that.

I suspect in the end, it will come down to a 5-4 vote IF all three of the Justices that Pres. Trump appointed side with Alito and Thomas. Roberts is a coin flip, but the other three are going to vote to uphold the law.

I think it will be at least a 6-3 decision and possibly 7-2 or 8-1 to strike the NY state arbitrary decision making process. I think sotomayor and Kagen may strike the law but allow a less strict/selective licensing process.

Will Roberts want to write the decision or will he give it to Alito or Thomas? I don’t think a single anti gun group thinks they have a chance, they were very pessimistic. The NY state solicitor was terrible, h she was in so far over her head. The one who argued for the federal govt was solid but has the weak facts on his side.
 
I would expect some sort of binding signage law, a prohibition on carrying anywhere alcohol is sold, even package stores, prohibitions in all government buildings, and anything else those A-holes on Beacon Hill can think of to make it more difficult to own and carry firearms.

I have no doubt that there are bills drafted and ready to be filed ten minutes after the decision is handed down.

They limited the question in the case so they’re not going to say anything in their decision about “sensitive places” as they discussed in the arguments. In the arguments, it was more about schools, Times Square on NYE, sports stadiums etc. that’s all for future cases if the states pass restrictions. DC passed a lot of restrictions on locations after their law lost and the courts struck most of them down.
 
Will Roberts want to write the decision or will he give it to Alito or Thomas? I don’t think a single anti gun group thinks they have a chance, they were very pessimistic. The NY state solicitor was terrible, h she was in so far over her head. The one who argued for the federal govt was solid but has the weak facts on his side.
I know some think Roberts will vote with the majority to write a narrow useless opinion, but Roberts may not want to be the figure in history responsible for writing the opinion and pass it off one of the others to take the heat even if means living with a written opinion he loathes.
 
I hope you're right, but I'm not that optimistic. Paul Clement, arguing for the Plaintiffs is a former US Solicited General, under Bushes. He's one of the most experienced litigators before SCOTUS there is.

I think it will be at least a 6-3 decision and possibly 7-2 or 8-1 to strike the NY state arbitrary decision making process. I think sotomayor and Kagen may strike the law but allow a less strict/selective licensing process.

Will Roberts want to write the decision or will he give it to Alito or Thomas? I don’t think a single anti gun group thinks they have a chance, they were very pessimistic. The NY state solicitor was terrible, h she was in so far over her head. The one who argued for the federal govt was solid but has the weak facts on his side.
 
I know some think Roberts will vote with the majority to write a narrow useless opinion, but Roberts may not want to be the figure in history responsible for writing the opinion and pass it off one of the others to take the heat even if means living with a written opinion he loathes.

I don’t think Roberts will be an issue on this case or most 2A cases. He has a tin ear with federal legislation and obviously bowed to the pressure in Obamacare and was squishy on religious liberty in the lockdown cases.

I’m hoping for Thomas or Alito writing it but any of the others Roberts, Gorsuch Barrett or kavanaugh will strike the law too. I can’t imagine there isn’t going to be 5 to once and for all require lower courts to follow the text history and tradition standard of review. Kavanaugh was in the dissent of an AWB case from DC, Barrett in the dissent in the felon in possession 7th case and Gorsuch is very libertarian. All that matters is getting 5 for that, if Roberts doesn’t want to join, oh well.

What will be interesting with Roberts is affirmative action which he has always opposed. Pending cert is a case against Harvard for discriminating against Asians. They’ve danced around affirmative action and limited it. This may be the case to end race discrimination for good in admissions. He’ll get pressure from all the race hustler groups there, will he stay strong and principled or buckle to political pressure.

Students for Fair Admissions v. President and Fellows of Harvard College​

 
I hope you're right, but I'm not that optimistic. Paul Clement, arguing for the Plaintiffs is a former US Solicited General, under Bushes. He's one of the most experienced litigators before SCOTUS there is.

Clement is outstanding, his colleague Erin Murphy is excellent too. She handles most of the district and appeals court arguments, clement gets the SCOTUS ones. Would love to see Alan Gura get more opportunities too.
 
They limited the question in the case so they’re not going to say anything in their decision about “sensitive places” as they discussed in the arguments. In the arguments, it was more about schools, Times Square on NYE, sports stadiums etc. that’s all for future cases if the states pass restrictions. DC passed a lot of restrictions on locations after their law lost and the courts struck most of them down.
Already happened in NYC with regard to possession and carrying of so-called "gravity knives" (common lockblade folders available at Home Depot, Lowes and Walmart). After tens of thousands of innocent people, including tradesmen and at least one chef, were arrested, jailed and left with a lifelong criminal record for carrying a common, everyday tool, knife rights guru Doug Ritter and others succeeded in getting Cuomo to sign legislation legalizing these knives. Today, you can carry your Buck 110, CRKT "Drifter" or Kershaw "Blur" while walking the streets of NYC without fear of arrest and prosecution. NYC immediately enacted a home-rule local ordinance banning the carry of these knives on public transportation as a response to the change in the law. Carry in subway or on NYC bus? You are 100% subject to arrest!
 
It’s a good time for a win on this case - public sentiment is shifting on RKBA. While the Left is working furiously to tie 2ndA and voting to 1-06 Capitol Insurrection threats against the very core of Democracy, they are losing the moderate Independents, new gun owners and Hispanics.

NYC under prior Mayors may have heel-dragged, as did DC after Heller, to make any win ineffective in practice, by making Shall-Issue a lengthy, onerous process not much unlike May(No)-Issue. But the new Mayor may be “tough on crime” and begin loosening the grip on LTCs. With very few gun ranges in NYC (one in Manhattan), training requirements could be a major limitation.

But the rest of NY state might prosper quicker.
 
I would expect some sort of binding signage law, a prohibition on carrying anywhere alcohol is sold, even package stores, prohibitions in all government buildings, and anything else those A-holes on Beacon Hill can think of to make it more difficult to own and carry firearms.

I have no doubt that there are bills drafted and ready to be filed ten minutes after the decision is handed down.
Just ignore all that BS.
 
When Justice Kavanaugh said, “the real concern, isn’t it, with any constitutional right, if it’s the discretion of an individual officer, that seems inconsistent with an objective constitutional right..."

He could have easily replaced the word officer with "Liberal Judge"
 
It’s a good time for a win on this case - public sentiment is shifting on RKBA. While the Left is working furiously to tie 2ndA and voting to 1-06 Capitol Insurrection threats against the very core of Democracy, they are losing the moderate Independents, new gun owners and Hispanics.

NYC under prior Mayors may have heel-dragged, as did DC after Heller, to make any win ineffective in practice, by making Shall-Issue a lengthy, onerous process not much unlike May(No)-Issue. But the new Mayor may be “tough on crime” and begin loosening the grip on LTCs. With very few gun ranges in NYC (one in Manhattan), training requirements could be a major limitation.

But the rest of NY state might prosper quicker.

Will the new mayor be better than Bloomberg or de blasio, it wouldn’t be hard to be better. But the new mayor adams is a lifelong liberal democrat and a retired nyc cop who likely believes in his right to carry but not the general publics. Also, he’s not the sole arbiter of law in NYC, there are 51 city councilors of which dems have 46 seats. I doubt nyc will be any different on guns without being forced to by the courts. I’m resigned to places like California, Massachusetts, Illinois, Hawaii etc only changing when ordered to by the courts.
 
If we were an English Monarchy Underwood might have an argument. Underwood is someone who belongs somewhere else but not in America. Underwood is a dictator.
People who argue against the 2nd Amendment are dictators. (or wanna be dictators) Liberals generally argue against the 2nd Amendment. So, therefore Liberals are generally wanna be dictators. Ha ha I think that's on one of the GREs as part of a logic question. ;-)
 
When Underwood irrelevantly retorted that, under the English monarchies it was “an insult to the king for people to take things into their own hands,” Roberts said, “Well, how many muggings take place in the forest?” (There was some laughter then.) Underwood correctly replied that rapes and robberies do occur on deserted bike paths, but this only worsened her case.


Justice Alito asked whether “you got a little bit overly enthusiastic in your summary of some of the historical sources,” as he noted that New York’s brief used a quote from an 1814 North Carolina legal manual telling local officials to “arrest all such persons as in your sight shall ride or go armed.” Trouble is, the original source actually said “ride or go armed offensively.” Going armed peaceably was lawful. Instead of apologizing for what looked like manipulation of the source, Underwood argued that, what the heck, it didn’t matter, going armed was the same as going armed offensively.


If we were an English Monarchy Underwood might have an argument. Underwood is someone who belongs somewhere else but not in America. Underwood is a dictator.

I assume she supports the NY laws personally but she was arguing in her professional capacity. She obviously doesn’t know much at all about the history of gun laws nationally and was probably before SCOTUS a for the first time and it showed. Clement is a very experienced lawyer who argued dozens of cases before SCOTUS on behalf of the government and representing groups as in this case. NY would have been much better off hiring Neil kaytel or another liberal lawyer to represent them, underwood had no business being there. The justices knew she was way over her head and went easy on her, they could have really embarrassed her.
 
When Justice Kavanaugh said, “the real concern, isn’t it, with any constitutional right, if it’s the discretion of an individual officer, that seems inconsistent with an objective constitutional right..."

He could have easily replaced the word officer with "Liberal Judge"
Ask the NY ahole what other right is decided by an individual police officer. Do you need permission for any other right from one person?
Do you need permission, for free speech, how about the 5th?
 
I know some think Roberts will vote with the majority to write a narrow useless opinion, but Roberts may not want to be the figure in history responsible for writing the opinion and pass it off one of the others to take the heat even if means living with a written opinion he loathes.

I could see roberts pulling shenanigans/orchestrating a shit show......something like Kagen voting with majority and him having HER write the majority opinion and in doing so undermine the courts decision against NY
 
People who argue against the 2nd Amendment are dictators. (or wanna be dictators) Liberals generally argue against the 2nd Amendment. So, therefore Liberals are generally wanna be dictators. Ha ha I think that's on one of the GREs as part of a logic question. ;-)
If Trump was a wanna be autocratic dictator, he would be the first in history that favored allowing ordinary subjects to be armed.
 
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