pastera
NES Member
SCOTUS will either find some excuse to not hear the AWB cases and if pushed will most likely rule in favor of AWBs as a "state's rights" issue and we will be screwed forever.
Realistically the only path to a loss is if they deny cert.
If granted cert it would take one of Gorsuch, Kavanagh or Barrett to foundationally change in order to flip the court.
But denying cert is a very real possibility since it it technically still an interlocutory appeal.
In theory it has already been granted cert with a GVR and the 4th is playing games so they might take it up just to issue a very clear smack down to the rebellious lower courts.
My guess is 70-80% for granting cert.