Gold and silver prices are down

0% inflation report indicates Fed can ease up on tightening.

Never mind that inflation is dropping cause our economy is falling off a cliff. It’s all about the Fed.

I keep reading about more retail and restaurant chains, and even local eating/drinking spots that are closing their doors.

Anecdotal evidence at best. But then Walmart came out with this update:

 
Gold is looking awfully bullish, not fading as the war premium dissipates.

But someone seems to step in to drive it back under $2000 whenever it tries to break out.

All the gold mined since the beginning of time would fit in a cube that's about 75' on each side. It would fill a football field to a depth of 1 meter. That's not a lot of material.

Much of it is squirreled away by governments, as in the case of the US with 8133 tonnes. There's a lot of jewelry. And industrial uses.

Truth is the amount available for individual purchase and consumption is relatively small.

There are a bit less than 8 billion people in the world. Estimates show that the total value of all gold in the world is about $12 trillion. That works out to about $1,500 for each person in the world. Or .75 ounces each.

When you back out that held by governments and other institutions for safekeeping, there's probably about .375 ounces for each person.

Yeah, that's relatively scarce. If consumers get the notion that buying physical gold is a good idea, supplies could and would dry up very quickly.
 
All the gold mined since the beginning of time would fit in a cube that's about 75' on each side. It would fill a football field to a depth of 1 meter. That's not a lot of material.

Much of it is squirreled away by governments, as in the case of the US with 8133 tonnes. There's a lot of jewelry. And industrial uses.

Truth is the amount available for individual purchase and consumption is relatively small.

There are a bit less than 8 billion people in the world. Estimates show that the total value of all gold in the world is about $12 trillion. That works out to about $1,500 for each person in the world. Or .75 ounces each.

When you back out that held by governments and other institutions for safekeeping, there's probably about .375 ounces for each person.

Yeah, that's relatively scarce. If consumers get the notion that buying physical gold is a good idea, supplies could and would dry up very quickly.

True, but right now they’d rather buy Shiba Inu and Apple, who hasn’t grown revenue in 3 years.
 
True, but right now they’d rather buy Shiba Inu and Apple, who hasn’t grown revenue in 3 years.

Patience, my friend.

There's been a substantial homogeny in investing over the past few years. Concentration of that much wealth in a small number of assets is a recipe for disaster. And since they are mostly tech stocks in the Magnificent 7, well, when one goes, the cradle will rock and down will come Apple, cradle and all.
 
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Patience, my friend.

There's been a substantial homogeny in investing over the past few years. Concentration of that much wealth in a small number of assets is a recipe for disaster. And since they are mostly tech stocks in the Magnificent 7, well, when on goes, the cradle will rock and down will come Apple, cradle and all.

Whenever I think "why the hell hasn't all this shit happened?" - then I see articles like the one you mentioned, showing Washington is still handing out free money (via moratoriums) 3 years after Covid. Then it makes sense.
 
Whenever I think "why the hell hasn't all this shit happened?" - then I see articles like the one you mentioned, showing Washington is still handing out free money (via moratoriums) 3 years after Covid. Then it makes sense.

Back in the day there were the nifty 50 stocks. Buy them and you could not lose. They just keep going up. Until they don't.

Too many people chasing the same assets causes asset inflation. It becomes a self fulfilling prophecy. But then something happens to cause a reversal. And folks rush to the exits. There are downdrafts in price of epic proportions as the nifty 50 or magnificent 7 lose their luster.

Watch out below!


ETA: Among the many things that could trigger a big sell-off in tech stocks... China making a move on Taiwan. That would be epic IMHO.
 
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Yearly close of $2k is definitely happening and I wouldn’t be surprised to see a melt up in US equities into next year with gold taking the lead after the dollar fails.
 
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