firearmslaw.duke.edu
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Perhaps the most important empirical question in the aftermath of Bruen will be whether the decision leads to a statistically significant increase in gun violence in former may-issue states.”
“Gun violence” is the wrong measure - “criminal victimization” and “lawful defense gun use” are relevant measures. The left will be counting every gun and bullet legally bought, every bullet fired, month by month to claim a rise in gun violence before any statistical significance emerges. And they will scrupulously avoid gathering any data or doing any analysis that doesn’t support their ends.
What is it about honest, law-abiding citizens of NY, CA, NJ, MD, CT, DE, HI, RI & MA that would induce them to become violent felons if readily given shall-issue RKBA? Even with the more rigorous state background checks, application requirements & reviews and training requirements of these states, are citizens of these states somehow more mentally unsuitable or prone to criminal intentions? Of course not.
Is there something about the decaying urban centers lead by Democrats that might see more guns brandished and bullets fired post-Bruen? If good citizens decide to venture once again into misbegotten parts of town - maybe so. If residents of these misbegotten parts of town decide to walk their own streets again - maybe so.
I call this a good thing - not gun violence.
The authors do pay lip-service to DGU statistics, but find good reasons to be critical of self-reported DGUs, even if paragraphs earlier they reference “30% of surveyed Generation-Z members had experienced gun violence personally and an additional 24% had a friend or family member who had” Without such a caveat. They are prepared to dismiss any data/analysis showing a positive impact of Bruen before such any such data/analysis exists.
Motivated Cognition is a self-imposed blindness that particularly affects those who believe they have the power to see what other cannot see.